SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $26.28 ↓ 3.7% 62th %ile (fear) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 62th in 90d range | Regime: fear

Why it matters

Volatility down 3.5% but still at 63rd fear percentile, with Kalshi odds at 4.0%.

Sources

futures